It ’s looking like 2017 is on track to become one of the three hot years on record .
The World Meteorological Organization ( WMO ) releaseda provisional statement yesterday , the possibility twenty-four hours of the United Nations Climate Change Conference in Bonn , claiming it was “ very likely ” that 2017 will either be the second or third blistering twelvemonth on phonograph recording . The global mean value temperature from January to September 2017 was about 0.47 ° C ( 0.85 ° atomic number 9 ) affectionate than the 1981 - 2010 average of approximately 14.31 ° vitamin C ( 57.76 ° farad ) . That equates to a 1.1 ° 100 ( 1.98 ° F ) rise in temperature since pre - industrial levels .
However , while this year is unlikely to be lovesome than the disc - breaking 2016 , things are n’t on the up . If forecast are correct , 2017 will in reality be the hottest year on record without the warming influence of the El Niño weather event .
The El Niño - Southern Oscillation is a mood cycles/second in the Pacific Ocean that has a global impingement on weather patterns . During the days of warming El Niño phases , like2014 to 2016 , you could wait warming global temperature . 2017 , however , was not subjected to an El Niño thaw phase , so there is“no excuse”for the ascent in temperature this yr .
WMO
The World Meteorological Organization also noted how this year has been defined by uttermost atmospheric condition across the orb , including the three ruinous hurricane that waste the US and the Caribbean two month ago , the major monsoon inundation in the Amerindic subcontinent , lumbering droughts in East Africa , and wildfires across the Mediterranean and the Americas .
The leading culprit behind this rising temperature and utmost weather is man - driven climate change . Petteri Taalas , WMO Secretary - General , told the audience at Bonn 2017 UN climate modification conferencethat the affectionate temperature and extreme conditions events “ have a bun in the oven the tell - tale sign of climate change cause by increased greenhouse flatulence concentrations from human action . ”
A fistful of scientists self-governing of the WMO and the UN pronounce the findings were highly concerning , yet hardly surprising .
" The weather for one given twelvemonth in insolation does not tell us about climate change , but combined with the long record of temperatures , ocean passion content , ocean level , and ice shroud sizing we have , it is utterly clear that the creation is warming , and that it is our preserve release of greenhouse gases that is causing it , " Dr Paul Young , Climate Scientist at the Lancaster Environment Centre , say in astatement .
" The one good news story that we have is that the ozone level is showing signs of convalescence , and that the latest information suggest that this twelvemonth ’s south-polar ozone hole is one of the small in late age . We need to extend our wakefulness in not releasing more ozone depletion substances , but we can take substance that the world can come together and agree military action to protect the surround . "
